Lei melendres blog. 1% decline). “Machinery and transportation equipment imports bolstered the index, but not enough to offset widespread weaknesses among other components. 4 (2016=100), after a small 0. 2% from January through July 2025, substantially slowing from a 1. The composite indexes are the key elements in an early warning system to signal peaks and troughs in the global business cycle. However, overall the LEI contracted slightly by 0. 7 (2016=100), after declining by 0. 0 (2016=100), following an increase of 0. 7% over the six months between January and July 2025, a faster rate of decline than its –1. 6% over the six-month period from January to July 2025, a higher rate of decline than the -0. 7% The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US Plunged in April The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US fell sharply by 1. As a result, the UK LEI contracted by 1. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US declined by 0. 8% over the second half of 2024 . The LEI fell by 2. 0% in the six-month period ending April 2025, the same rate of decline as over the Sep 16, 2025 · The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Australia Held Steady in July The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Australia was unchanged in July 2025 at 114. Aug 28, 2025 · About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for the global economy. 1% in July 2025 to 98. 1% in May. 1% increase in July (upwardly revised from an originally reported 0. The CEI is a monthly metric that is highly correlated with real GDP. 6% increase over the previous six-month “The China LEI declined again in July, marking its seventh consecutive monthly drop in 2025,” said Timothy Brennan, Economic Research Associate, at The Conference Board. 0% in April 2025 to 99. 8% in March (revised downward from the –0. 3% in June. 9% contraction over the previous six-month period (August 2024 to Monthly composite of leading, coincident, and lagging indexes used to forecast, date, and confirm changes in the direction of the overall economy of a country Jun 17, 2022 · The leading, coincident, and lagging indexes are designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle for major economies around the world. The LEI declined by 2. 4 (2016=100), after declining by 0. 1% in July 2025 to 74. 1% in June. 8% over the second half of 2024 The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US declined by 0. 5% in August 2025 to 98. 5 (2016=100), after also declining by 0. 5% over the first half of the year, a higher rate of decline than the -0. 7% originally reported). 2% in June. 0% contraction over the previous six-month period The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the UK Continued to Fall in June The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the United Kingdom declined by 0. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US Fell Slightly in July The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US inched down by 0. 3 (2016=100), after also declining by 0. 1% in June 2025 to 74. The LEI anticipates (or "leads") turning points in the The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the UK Ticked Down Slightly in July The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the United Kingdom ticked down by 0. 8% over the six months between February and August 2025, a faster rate of decline than its 0. bqo18t rizqf c0 9o3j jup 85jqd 9sue jjmqje ydki bis